Global Rare Earth Elements

Global Rare Earth Elements

Monthly Pricing Tracker Report

Report ID: CM30 | Format: PDF, Excel | Publish Date: September 2026 | Pages: 120

1. Executive Summary
1.1 Global Rare Earth Elements Market Overview
1.2 September 2026 Market Conditions
1.3 Key Monthly Price Movements
1.4 Light Rare Earth Market Overview
1.5 Heavy Rare Earth Market Overview
1.6 China Domestic Market Developments
1.7 Ex China Market Developments
1.8 China Export Control Impact
1.9 Key Supply and Demand Developments
1.10 Major Market Catalysts
1.11 Near Term Market Outlook
2. Global Rare Earth Elements Price Snapshot
2.1 September 2026 Price Overview
2.2 Neodymium Oxide Pricing
2.3 Praseodymium Metal Pricing
2.4 Neodymium Metal Pricing
2.5 NdPr Oxide Benchmark Pricing
2.6 Dysprosium Metal Pricing
2.7 Terbium Metal Pricing
2.8 Yttrium Metal Pricing
2.9 Month on Month Price Changes
2.10 Year to Date Price Changes
2.11 Price Comparison Across Rare Earth Elements
2.12 Key Drivers Behind Product Level Price Movements

The source identifies NdPr oxide as the key benchmark and provides September pricing for 7 actively traded rare earth products.

3. Light Rare Earth Elements Market Analysis
3.1 Light Rare Earth Elements Market Overview
3.2 Neodymium Market
3.3 Praseodymium Market
3.4 Lanthanum Market
3.5 Cerium Market
3.6 NdPr Oxide Market
3.7 NdFeB Magnet Feedstock Demand
3.8 Electric Vehicle Demand Impact
3.9 Wind Turbine Demand Impact
3.10 Light Rare Earth Supply Conditions
3.11 Light Rare Earth Price Outlook
4. Heavy Rare Earth Elements Market Analysis
4.1 Heavy Rare Earth Elements Market Overview
4.2 Dysprosium Market
4.3 Terbium Market
4.4 Yttrium Market
4.5 Samarium Market
4.6 Heavy Rare Earth Scarcity Premium
4.7 Defense Related Demand
4.8 High Performance Magnet Demand
4.9 Export Licensing Impact
4.10 Heavy Rare Earth Supply Availability
4.11 Heavy Rare Earth Price Outlook

The report highlights a substantial divergence between light and heavy rare earth pricing, particularly because dysprosium, terbium, samarium and yttrium are subject to China's export licensing controls.

5. Monthly and Year to Date Price Trend Analysis
5.1 January to September 2026 Price Development
5.2 NdPr Oxide Price Trajectory
5.3 January 2026 Starting Price
5.4 First Half 2026 Price Rally
5.5 May 2026 Price Milestone
5.6 July 2026 Price Peak
5.7 August 2026 Market Correction
5.8 September 2026 Price Stabilisation
5.9 Year to Date Price Performance by Product
5.10 Rare Earth Price Volatility Analysis
5.11 China Rare Earth Industry Association Price Index
5.12 Historical Price Index Comparison

The report describes NdPr oxide moving from approximately $53/kg in January to above $120/kg in July before correcting toward $96 to $97/kg in September.

6. China Domestic Rare Earth Market
6.1 China Rare Earth Market Overview
6.2 Domestic Pricing Environment
6.3 Light Rare Earth Pricing
6.4 Heavy Rare Earth Pricing
6.5 NdPr Oxide Domestic Market
6.6 Dysprosium Domestic Market
6.7 Terbium Domestic Market
6.8 Yttrium Domestic Market
6.9 Domestic Supply Conditions
6.10 Downstream Restocking Activity
6.11 Chinese Production Quotas
6.12 Domestic Market Outlook
7. Regional Price Bifurcation
7.1 China Versus Ex China Pricing
7.2 China Domestic Price Benchmark
7.3 North American Rare Earth Prices
7.4 European Rare Earth Prices
7.5 Asian Markets Outside China
7.6 Heavy Rare Earth Price Premiums Outside China
7.7 Yttrium Price Divergence
7.8 Dysprosium Price Divergence
7.9 Terbium Price Divergence
7.10 Samarium Price Divergence
7.11 Shipping and Handling Cost Impact
7.12 Regional Supply Availability
7.13 Implications of Regional Price Differentials

The source specifically identifies the China domestic versus ex China price gap as one of the most significant structural features of the 2026 market.

8. China Export Controls and Regulatory Environment
8.1 Overview of China's Rare Earth Export Controls
8.2 April 2025 Announcement 18
8.3 Controlled Rare Earth Elements
8.4 Dysprosium Export Licensing
8.5 Terbium Export Licensing
8.6 Samarium Export Licensing
8.7 Yttrium Export Licensing
8.8 Impact on Ex China Supply
8.9 Export Licensing Delays
8.10 Approved Shipment Destinations
8.11 Impact on Regional Prices
8.12 Evolution of Chinese Export Policy
8.13 November 2026 Export Control Review
8.14 Potential Market Implications
9. Supply Side Developments
9.1 Global Rare Earth Production
9.2 Chinese Rare Earth Production
9.3 U.S. Rare Earth Production
9.4 Mountain Pass Production
9.5 Monazite Based Production
9.6 Rare Earth Processing Capacity
9.7 Separation Capacity
9.8 Metal Making Capacity
9.9 Non Chinese Supply Development
9.10 Western Supply Chain Development
9.11 Supply Concentration
9.12 Supply Chain Diversification

The source reports estimated U.S. rare earth oxide equivalent production of 51,000 tons in 2025 and discusses the expansion of domestic processing capacity.

10. Corporate and Industry Developments
10.1 MP Materials Market Developments
10.2 MP Materials NdPr Production
10.3 MP Materials NdPr Sales
10.4 Department of Defense Price Protection Agreement
10.5 U.S. Government Support for Rare Earth Production
10.6 USA Rare Earth Developments
10.7 Vulcan Elements Developments
10.8 Western Rare Earth Supply Chain Investments
10.9 Heavy Rare Earth Product Expansion
10.10 Gadolinium Supply Developments
10.11 Vertical Integration Trends

The source highlights MP Materials' production, sales and Price Protection Agreement activity, alongside the emergence of additional vertically integrated U.S. producers.

11. Demand Side Analysis
11.1 Global Rare Earth Demand Overview
11.2 NdFeB Permanent Magnet Demand
11.3 Electric Vehicle Demand
11.4 Wind Energy Demand
11.5 Robotics Demand
11.6 Defense Demand
11.7 Aerospace Demand
11.8 Clean Energy Applications
11.9 Industrial Applications
11.10 Magnet Manufacturing Demand
11.11 Emerging Demand Drivers
11.12 Long Term Demand Outlook
12. Rare Earth Magnet Market Dynamics
12.1 Global Permanent Magnet Market
12.2 NdFeB Magnet Market
12.3 Magnet Rare Earth Oxide Consumption
12.4 EV Traction Motor Applications
12.5 Wind Turbine Generator Applications
12.6 Robotics Applications
12.7 Defense and Aerospace Applications
12.8 Magnet Production Capacity
12.9 Rare Earth Intensity of Magnet Applications
12.10 Long Term Magnet Demand Outlook

The source projects magnet related rare earth oxide consumption value to increase substantially through 2040, supported by EV, wind and emerging robotics demand.

13. Market Drivers
13.1 Electric Vehicle Adoption
13.2 Wind Power Expansion
13.3 Robotics Adoption
13.4 Defense Modernisation
13.5 Supply Chain Diversification
13.6 Chinese Production Quotas
13.7 Export Controls
13.8 Western Government Support
13.9 Magnet Manufacturing Growth
13.10 Strategic Stockpiling
13.11 Processing Capacity Expansion
14. Market Constraints and Challenges
14.1 Concentration of Global Supply
14.2 Chinese Processing Dominance
14.3 Limited Ex China Separation Capacity
14.4 Heavy Rare Earth Scarcity
14.5 Export Licensing Restrictions
14.6 High Western Production Costs
14.7 Infrastructure Constraints
14.8 Technology and Processing Challenges
14.9 Supply Chain Development Timelines
14.10 Price Volatility
15. Market Risk Analysis
15.1 Export Control Risk
15.2 Geopolitical Risk
15.3 Supply Disruption Risk
15.4 Demand Slowdown Risk
15.5 Price Correction Risk
15.6 Inventory Risk
15.7 Regional Price Risk
15.8 Currency and Trade Risk
15.9 Policy Change Risk
15.10 Supply Chain Concentration Risk
16. September 2026 Market Outlook
16.1 Q4 2026 Market Outlook
16.2 Light Rare Earth Price Outlook
16.3 Heavy Rare Earth Price Outlook
16.4 NdPr Oxide Price Outlook
16.5 Dysprosium Price Outlook
16.6 Terbium Price Outlook
16.7 China Domestic Market Outlook
16.8 Ex China Market Outlook
16.9 Supply Outlook
16.10 Demand Outlook
16.11 Regional Price Differential Outlook
16.12 November 2026 Export Control Review
16.13 Medium Term Market Outlook
16.14 Long Term Market Outlook

The report identifies 10 November 2026 as the key near term event for the market and expects continued structural support from EV, wind and robotics demand alongside gradual development of non Chinese supply.

17. Strategic Implications
17.1 Implications for Rare Earth Producers
17.2 Implications for Refiners
17.3 Implications for Magnet Manufacturers
17.4 Implications for EV Manufacturers
17.5 Implications for Wind Turbine Manufacturers
17.6 Implications for Defense Companies
17.7 Implications for Procurement Teams
17.8 Implications for Investors and Industry Participants
17.9 Supply Chain Diversification Strategies
17.10 Key Indicators to Monitor
18. Frequently Asked Questions
18.1 Why Is NdPr Oxide Below the $110/kg Price Floor?
18.2 Why Are Heavy Rare Earth Prices Higher Than Light Rare Earth Prices?
18.3 Why Are China Domestic and Ex China Prices Different?
18.4 Which Rare Earth Elements Are Under Export Controls?
18.5 What Is the November 2026 Export Control Review?
18.6 What Is Driving NdPr Demand?
18.7 How Is the EV Industry Affecting Rare Earth Demand?
18.8 How Is Wind Power Affecting Rare Earth Demand?
18.9 What Is Driving Heavy Rare Earth Demand?
18.10 How Large Could the Rare Earth Magnet Market Become?

The current report already contains 5 FAQs covering the NdPr price floor, heavy rare earth pricing, regional price gaps, the November 2026 policy date and the long term magnet market outlook.

19. Data Sources and Methodology
19.1 Shanghai Metals Market Data
19.2 U.S. Geological Survey Data
19.3 China Rare Earth Industry Association Data
19.4 SunSirs Market Data
19.5 Corporate Disclosures
19.6 Government Policy Sources
19.7 Industry and Consultancy Research
19.8 Regional Price Data
19.9 Monthly Price Tracking Methodology
19.10 Year to Date Price Calculation
19.11 Data Cross Checking
19.12 Market Data Limitations

Frequently Asked Questions

What is driving NdPr oxide prices below the $110/kg U.S. price floor in September 2026?
Ample Chinese light-rare-earth supply and softer downstream restocking have kept China's spot NdPr oxide near $96-97/kg, below the price-floor benchmark that underpins offtake agreements such as MP Materials' arrangement with the U.S. Department of Defense.
Why have heavy rare earths like terbium and dysprosium risen so much faster than light rare earths?
China's Announcement 18 licensing regime placed dysprosium, terbium, samarium and yttrium under export controls in April 2025, sharply restricting ex-China availability while light rare earths such as neodymium and lanthanum remain comparatively unrestricted.
What is causing the price gap between China-domestic and ex-China rare earth quotes?
Export licensing delays and a shrinking pool of approved shipment destinations have created regional bifurcation, with ex-China buyers of controlled heavy oxides paying several multiples of the China-domestic reference price.
Which upcoming date could most affect rare earth prices?
China's export-control suspension is due to expire on 10 November 2026, widely flagged by market trackers as the clearest near-term catalyst for renewed price volatility.
How large is the long-term rare earth magnet market expected to become?
Epignosis Insights projects the value of global magnet rare-earth-oxide consumption to grow roughly five-fold by 2040, from under $8 billion in 2024 to an estimated $44-57 billion, driven by EV, wind, and robotics demand.

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